Example: Using the previous settings of 3 five-minute intervals and a new setting of 120% prediction factor, the working of the Predictive Window Demand could be described as follows: At 12:10, we have the average of the subintervals from 11:55-12:00, 12:00-12:05 and 12:05-12:10. In five minutes (12:15), we will have an average of the subintervals 12:00-12:05 and 12:05-12:10 (which we know) and 12:10-12:15 (which we do not yet know). As a guess , we will use the last subinterval (12:05-12:10) as an approximation for the next subinterval (12:10-12:15). As a further refinement, we will assume that the next subinterval might have a higher average (120%) than the last subinterval. As we progress into the subinterval, (for example, up to 12:11), the Predictive Window Demand will be the average of the first two subintervals (12:00-12:05, 12:05-12:10), the actual values of the current subinterval (12:10-12:11) and the predistion for the remainder of the subinterval, 4/5 of the 120% of the 12:05-12:10 subinterval.

#of Subintervals = n Subinterval Length = Len Partial Subinterval Length = Cnt Prediction Factor = Pct

 

 

 

Subn

 

 

 

 

...

 

 

 

 

 

Sub1

 

 

Sub0

 

Partial

Predict

 

 

 

 

Len

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Len

 

 

Len

 

Cnt

Len

 

 

 

 

 

Len−1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sub =

 

Valuei

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

i=0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Len

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cnt −1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Partial =

Valuei

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

i=0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cnt

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Value

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

n−2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

i

=

0

i

 

 

⎡⎡ Len Cnt

 

 

Partial +

 

 

 

 

1

⎢⎢

 

 

Pct

 

 

 

 

n

 

 

Len

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

⎣⎣

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

n−2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sub

 

 

 

Sub

Sub

 

 

⎡⎡ Len Cnt

 

 

 

 

 

=

0

 

i

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

+ ⎢

i

 

 

 

 

+

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

n 1

⎢⎢

 

 

Pct

 

 

 

n −1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Len

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2x(n −1)

 

 

⎣⎣

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

e Electro Industries/GaugeTech Doc # E107706 V1.25

2-11

Page 35
Image 35
Electro-Voice 1252, 250 operation manual Partial = ∑Value